FaB-Results
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

司忠 甲地
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 嵩 小山内 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Dash I/O
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shohei Marubayashi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tomohiko Shimanouchi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Akira NAKAJIMA
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Theo T. (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 30:70
Dorinthea Ironsong
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yu Cheng Lai (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs naoki tsuji (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.