Betsy, Skin in the Game
2 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
41st • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kumagai takuya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ryo inoue (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jack Tang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
54th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connor Leverton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 剛大 土本 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rio Sakai (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alex Jamieson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 孝晃 長濱 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.