Fang, Dracai of Blades
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
5.2
Surp
5.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Win vs Takuro Hiraoka (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 86:14
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78
Round 8: Win vs Michael Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs 孝晃 長濱 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Round 12: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
33rd • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs masaru okuda (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colby Gray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs shota kajiro (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jack Tang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yuma Ishikura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 直樹 多川 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
85:15
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 85% | Win |
47th • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs 裕貴 藤盛 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs LEE JUI-CHI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kazuki Sawabe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Louis Glenn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 86:14
Round 7: Win vs 優 大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54
Round 11: Win vs 孝晃 長濱 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs So Yanagita (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23
Round 2: Loss vs ryo inoue (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yu Wei Wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs ジョーン K (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.