Ira, Scarlet Revenger
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroki Itakura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shoya Yamashita (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keita Arai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 優 大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
95:5
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 小谷 康斗 (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 93:7
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yoshihiko Kato (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 95% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
23rd • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 53:47
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Round 8: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 10: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Bryan Kong (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
36th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Weller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
Round 3: Win vs Harrison Callahan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroaki Osawa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
95:5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs suk kyo suh (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 93:7
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs ジョーン K (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Round 10: Win vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jack Tang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 95% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
44th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs KENSUKE BESSHO (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Keita Arai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Debrian Figueroa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke VanGuilder (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yuto Mori (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pudding Tam (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 8: Win vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Fu Kah Deng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
63rd • 6-6-0
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs LEE JUI-CHI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fumiya U (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Iada Caio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Satoshi Kawamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Akira Inuma (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (6.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 佑紀 丸田 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroaki Osawa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
Round 4: Win vs Takuya iida (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs EITARO SHIBATA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs JIN SEUNGHYUN (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Michael Herzner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 明久 髙橋 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Akira Inuma (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tomohiko Shimanouchi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tetsuo Matsumura (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ユウキ テラダ (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Loss vs ジョーン K (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
95:5
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs masaru okuda (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 93:7
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs yohei ohki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs EIKI SUGAI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 14:86
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tsunoda Shingo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 95% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mizuki Takei (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Loss vs 守 山下 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 裕貴 藤盛 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shoya Yamashita (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
Round 6: Win vs Kazuya Nakata (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs OH Youngjin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs sho ono (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 坂上 俊輔 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jackie wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
Round 7: Loss vs ryo inoue (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs yinglin fu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs OH Youngjin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mizuki Takei (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 理央 鎌田 (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs So Yanagita (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs YE MINSHENG (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oh Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Colby Gray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs yinglin fu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryo Terakita (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 永井 泰洋 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.