Arakni, Huntsman at Calling: Shinjuku 2026 — FaB-Results

Arakni, Huntsman

Arakni, Huntsman

12 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

3rd • 11-3-0

86%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

6.2

Surp

4.5

Diff

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yuji Tanaka (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 41:59

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Blaž Hrastnik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Dash I/O

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tsunoda Shingo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Arakni, Marionette

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Arakni, Marionette

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Kassai of the Golden Sand

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

Puffin, Hightail

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Bryan Kong (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31

Valda, Seismic Impact

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35

Dash I/O

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

86% (12/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (7.9 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.21
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.21
R6	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.80
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.41
R10	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.39
R11	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.48
R12	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.77
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Yoshiaki Okamoto

38th • 8-4-0

83%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 祥弘橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Jarl Vetreiði

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 憲佑佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

Arakni, Marionette

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Arakni, Huntsman

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tomohiko Shimanouchi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Arakni, Marionette

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 優大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Puffin, Hightail

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs 一樹日浦 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.08
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.47
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.55
R9	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R11	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.83
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

39th • 8-4-0

67%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

5.8

Surp

4.5

Diff

Dorinthea Ironsong

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Richie Britton (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kazuya Mishima (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tsunoda Shingo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 27:73

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Akira Inuma (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

Jarl Vetreiði

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Marquis Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs ジョーン K (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs 直樹多川 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.03
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.13
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.38
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.72
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.13
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Keisuke Iwamura

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 卓也金子 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Pleiades, Superstar

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Dash I/O

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

Arakni, Huntsman

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.70
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.90

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

Arakni, Marionette

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Arakni, Marionette

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Katsu, the Wanderer

90:10

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs matoshi anthony Del mundo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 89:11

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Pudding Tam (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Arakni, Marionette

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 優大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Jarl Vetreiði

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jack Tang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.09
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.58
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

Uzuri, Switchblade

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luke VanGuilder (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Dash I/O

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Didde-Esteban (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33

Dash I/O

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

Fai, Rising Rebellion

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.31
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.33
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.42
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.77
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

タカヤスギモト

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

Dorinthea Ironsong

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

Valda, Seismic Impact

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 福島健太郎 (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35

Jarl Vetreiði

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mason Galvan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs ジミイヘンスウォース (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Fai, Rising Rebellion

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 佑紀丸田 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Dash I/O

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.18
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.47
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.78
R6	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

dropped • 3-3-1

57%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs juno choi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

Kassai of the Golden Sand

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Jarl Vetreiði

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Satoshi Kawamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Ryo Takashima (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 27:73

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs naoki tsuji (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.16
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	25%	Draw	✗	0.27	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.90

Tomoyuki Yagura

dropped • 2-1-1

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sho Nakahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

Fai, Rising Rebellion

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53

Arakni, Marionette

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Arakni, Huntsman

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryo Terakita (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 隆誠細井 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

Fai, Rising Rebellion

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 和佳倉田 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53

Dash I/O

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hiroaki Osawa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Arakni, Huntsman

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tomoyuki Yagura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Benjamin Weller

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Iada Caio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Dash I/O

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 大和宮脇 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Yang-Chia Chang

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs erwin leung (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

Dorinthea Ironsong

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.36

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.