Calling: Shinjuku 2026 - Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster (CC)

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Hiroaki Suzuki

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

10:90

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 8:92, underdog victory

10:90

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 8:92

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

5:95

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 6:94

15:85

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 坂上俊輔 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 17:83

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	10%	Win	✗	0.92	0.53
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R7	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Fumiya U

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

10:90

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 佐藤宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 8:92

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Shoma Nakama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs XINCHENG XIE (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs シンヤカワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.01
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

優太高橋

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Jamieson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ryo Takashima (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

5:95

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kimura Akifumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 6:94

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.