Calling: Shinjuku 2026 - Aurora, Legacy of Tempest (CC)

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tatsumiya genchi

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 悠悟古屋 (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jihoon Park (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 17:83

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs kei kimura (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs erwin leung (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

圭資山村

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs ジミイヘンスウォース (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs kei kimura (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.22
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R6	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

悠悟古屋

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 憲佑佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tatsumiya genchi (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs yohei ohki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs kumagai takuya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	15%	Win	✗	0.83	0.42
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Suh Jaeyong

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ryo inoue (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs youngchan ju (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 優太高橋 (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shouhei Kanbe (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.91

sungbin sim

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryosuke Kono (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.52
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

HyoungJun You

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.