Jarl Vetreiði at Calling: Shinjuku 2026
Jarl Vetreiði
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
4.8
Surp
4.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs YE MINSHENG (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenta Miki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 一樹 日浦 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs SOUICHI MIYABE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuto Mori (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Oh Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
30th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs ナオヤ タカハシ (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 明久 髙橋 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Oh Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Theo T. (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Round 8: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nova Chan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Rio Sakai (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
37th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jun Sato (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs JUNG MOO SUNG (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs YUKITOMO DAIKI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
Round 8: Loss vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Akira Inuma (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
51st • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs DAN DAN (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 直樹 多川 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 21:79
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kousaku Nishi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yuma Ishikura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 9: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Akira Inuma (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34
Round 11: Win vs Tsunoda Shingo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Gammons (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs タカヤ スギモト (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 雅貴 大場 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tatsumiya genchi (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tsunoda Shingo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 21:79
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs 暁 柴野 (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs naoki tsuji (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 永井 泰洋 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Blaž Hrastnik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 康仁 三竹 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kazuya Nakata (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Herzner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shoma Nakama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67
Round 7: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17
Round 2: Win vs 聡 本田 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 21:79
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34
Round 5: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Marquis Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Hiroki Itakura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 18:82
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs sho ono (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs naoki tsuji (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryotarou Yamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Draw |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs 悠悟 古屋 (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 拓弥 橋本 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Kenta Miki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs So Yanagita (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Daisuke Uto (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Hiroshi Suzuki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Draw |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 聡 本田 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 26:74
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs PANG CHEN (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Takaaki Sano (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 憲佑 佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs RYUTA NAKADA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
83%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Blaž Hrastnik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Takaaki Sano (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Yu Wei Wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yu Cheng Lai (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 優 大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs YUJIE MAO (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs sho ono (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs EIKI SUGAI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 26:74
Round 5: Loss vs Takuya iida (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuuya Okawa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs So Yanagita (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 智行 内海 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs hiromitsu nohara (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.