Valda, Seismic Impact
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.6
Surp
5.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs ジョーン K (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Satoshi Kawamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 直樹 多川 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
Round 10: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
21st • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs KYOSUKE YAMAMOTO (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Oh Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Shoma Nakama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Fu Kah Deng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
Round 12: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
25th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
Round 9: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tsunoda Shingo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
32nd • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ikumi Miyao (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tomohiko Shimanouchi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 明久 髙橋 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 直樹 多川 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yuto Mori (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs ジミイ ヘンスウォース (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Round 11: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs EIKI SUGAI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Munehiro Tada (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs タカヤ スギモト (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Loss vs Koki Mori (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuuya Okawa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 三輪 佑樹 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henry Leskinen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.