Zyggy Starlight at Calling: Shinjuku 2026
Zyggy Starlight
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
50th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 優太 高橋 (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 雄一 中島 (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs atsushi tsuchiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs yohei ohki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Louis Glenn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-2
43%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs erwin leung (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
5:95
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 7:93
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Jakub Tepper (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Michael Herzner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Draw |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 5% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Draw |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
43%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Shoya Yamashita (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 金 昱成 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Takaaki Sano (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 永井 泰洋 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Draw |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroaki Osawa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs KYOSUKE YAMAMOTO (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Satoru Doumoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
5:95
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 7:93
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs ジョーン K (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 5% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Gammons (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Koki Mori (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hiroshi Suzuki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
5:95
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 7:93
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 5% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.