Ira, Crimson Haze at Sunday Showdown: Yokohama 2026

Ira, Crimson Haze

106 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gordon Koh Koh

5th • 9-2-0

82%

Meta

+3.5

Perf

5.2

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Phil Hensley (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Lucas Ng (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs 洋介小池 (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Bart Horré (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Luke Murphy (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs William Pearlman (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.39
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.40
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.67
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Yoshiki Mizutani

5th • 9-2-0

91%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

5.5

Surp

4.6

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs WAI KIT LO (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs 雅貴大場 (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs William Pearlman (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs shogo wakui (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

91% (10/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.36
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.54
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.50
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Kazuya Murakami

5th • 8-3-0

82%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

5.4

Surp

3.9

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs レオン藤倉 (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kazuaki Fukui (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Matt Rogers (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.02
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.23
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.30
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.85
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.53
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.95
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R10	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Yudai Shimizu

9th • 8-2-0

70%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

5.3

Surp

4.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Isuardi Therianto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Matt Quigley (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Max McLean (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.52
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.94
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.09
R8	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Lee Kimball

10th • 8-2-0

60%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

4.8

Surp

4.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Chuan Yang Loy (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Majin Bae (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs May Hayden (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Daniel Toh (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Meta Fit

60% (6/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.52
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.20
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.58
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.02
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.56

Ian Zhang

18th • 8-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

4.7

Surp

4.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Wen Yu Thye (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs つばさ穐山 (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Eon Lovelace (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kazuaki Fukui (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Ben Dodd (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

100% (10/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.59
R8	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.84
R9	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.66
R10	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

岡西達也

19th • 8-2-0

90%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Carlo Luis Santos (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Clong H (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Vincent Lim (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Meta Fit

90% (9/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.05
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.41
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.48
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.30
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.56

shogo wakui

22nd • 7-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Nisthal (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Yuen Peir Teo (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Waynne Tan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ben Dodd (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Andrew Cook (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (10/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.17
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.44
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.68
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Xiu Meng Yip

31st • 7-3-0

60%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.7

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Masaki Kinoshita (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ernesto Manzur (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Darren Taing (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

60% (6/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.33
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.48
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.40
R10	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

HIROKI ASAUMI

32nd • 7-3-0

70%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

5.7

Surp

4.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Joel Guzman (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kin Bong Ernie Wong (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Bell (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Waynne Tan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yuen Peir Teo (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs haruka sonoda (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.47
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.09
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.79
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.40
R10	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Kenji Enomoto

33rd • 7-3-0

70%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

5.4

Surp

4.2

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Waynne Tan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ryan Newberry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs May Hayden (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs William Pearlman (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.31
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.51
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.05
R9	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.15
R10	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Andrew Singleton

34th • 7-3-0

60%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.9

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Taylor Reichel (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Raj Parikh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (6/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.47
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.52
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.92
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.74
R10	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Adam Fronsee

40th • 7-3-0

80%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Christian Byrnes (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Robert Piper (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Randy Davis (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.31
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.13
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.69
R8	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.67
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.99

Sean Tan

44th • 7-3-0

80%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.6

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs 岡本一朗 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs 政大板谷 (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs yohei ohki (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Bart Horré (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.51
R5	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.41
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.69
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.89
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.99

Yuusuke Kiguchi

50th • 6-4-0

80%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.6

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs 暁柴野 (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Peter Bråss (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Peng Joon (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Johnny Zen (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Muhidin Grosonja (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.34
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.41
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.59
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R9	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R10	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Jordan Jalbert-Ross

51st • 6-4-0

90%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Yuanji Li (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ben Dodd (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

85:15

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

90% (9/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (6.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.13
R5	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.20
R7	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.51
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R9	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Timothy Teo

63rd • 6-4-0

70%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Chou Wen Hung (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Shane Martin (Unknown)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Masaya Sasaki (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Wen Yu Thye (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Chihaya Ishimaru (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Michael Zaballero (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Robert Piper (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Chris Saw (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.44
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.92
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.79
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Connar Bodoh

68th • 6-4-0

90%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.9

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Hauser (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Keito Onose (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Aoi Koganei (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ernesto Manzur (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs ゆうひ石丸 (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

90% (9/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.32
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.94
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.67
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R10	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Yuki Takayasu

79th • 5-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs 荻原雄生 (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs William Bradshaw (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Samuel Cho (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Chen Wei Li (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Robert Piper (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (10/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.10
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.23
R8	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R9	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Wojciech Andrusewicz

83rd • 5-5-0

90%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jie Rui C (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Kairi Thompson (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs ZongRu Wu (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

90% (9/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.58
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R9	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Chris Saw

98th • 4-6-0

90%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

4.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jun Loong Wong (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs 尚規石坂 (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs KENT Lin (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Cody Dennhardt (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Hajime Okada (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tomoko Ishimaru (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Taylor Reichel (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

90% (9/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.39
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.58
R8	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.52
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Dagan White

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Bernie L (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Logan King (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Eric Pettinelli

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Barrett Goss (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.74
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Harpreet Singh Dhillon

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Akira NAKAJIMA (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ken Sawada (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Clong H (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Yoshihiko Kato (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.38
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.86
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Raj Parikh

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Bart Horré (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tomotsugu Kikuta (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.97
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.98
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tyler Brotton

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Lee Kimball (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Luke Murphy (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs 貴史石原 (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Carlo Luis Santos (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.82
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.64
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

GAICHI YAMADA

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Phillip Manwaring (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Sam Yuen (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Roman Legíň (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.13
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.74
R7	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Ryan Ward

dropped • 2-6-0

75%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs John Milner (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Richard Fu (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs John Hathaway (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Yoshida Yoshinobu (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Eugene Guevarra (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Tomoko Ishimaru (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.98
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

David Alfonso

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs ゆうひ石丸 (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Henry Van Den Broek (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.75
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ken Kuwahara

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Cody Dennhardt (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Amirruddin Sheik (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ged Felipe Santos (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Pudding Tam

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs 藤田隼輔 (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jared Blazich (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Yuen Peir Teo (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs John Milner (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.56
R4	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.39
R5	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.70
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Ryan Newberry

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs James Hodges (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Yoshihiko Kato (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Travis Wong (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs May Hayden (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Rabchenia (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.89
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

shoma yamamura

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jun Loong Wong (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Brenna Tan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Edmondo Mazzulli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mikko Pena (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Leon Schmidtke (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Masaki Kinoshita (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.47
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Ernesto Manzur

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Zaballero (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Ben Thomas (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Chuan Yang Loy (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kai Pickett

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jian Botor (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs 岡本一朗 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Chen Wei Li (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Younghyun Jeong

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Crisler Chee (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs ゆうひ石丸 (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Robert Szura

dropped • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Richard Fu (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Cristerson Chee (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs kazuma kuwahara (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.19
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

창건 곽

dropped • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.9

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs takahiro takahashi (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs masaru okuda (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R4	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.45
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Bernie L

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Dagan White (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea) - Expected: 76:24

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Blaž Hrastnik (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.13
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Carlo Luis Santos

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Naoki Mikami (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Darren Taing (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Sam Andersen (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Aoi Koganei (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.46
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.30
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ivan Taranto

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Gui Cohen (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs シンヤカワグチ (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Maciej Chmielewski

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Josh Lind (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Gary Manttan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R3	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Yuki Matsumoto

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Masaki Kinoshita (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Emerson Miller (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Sean Tan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Bernie L (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ryan Bell (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.11
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

雅之高橋

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Leon Schmidtke (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Anthony Faciane (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.23
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Alex Mihilli

dropped • 2-3-1

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Peng Joon (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Mizuki Tamura (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Henry Van Den Broek (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Draw vs Nicholas Wong (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Cody Broten (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Draw	✗	0.34	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alex Lo

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Postle (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs 政大板谷 (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.06
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Chuan Yang Loy

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ryusei Tani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Rohan Raj (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Konoka Takai (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ernesto Manzur (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.56
R5	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Cody Broten

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sarah Cheng (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alex Mihilli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.69
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jo Yana

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Hiroyuki Yamamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Zaballero (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

SOSUKE TAKAI

dropped • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Samed Demir (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Klein Tian (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.78
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.04
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Kunihiko Date

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Yoshida Yoshinobu (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Michael McDowell (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Michael Zaballero (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.05
R5	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Pei-Tung Liao

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Michael Postle (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tomoko Ishimaru (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Dagan White (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Waynne Tan

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs shogo wakui (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

masaru okuda

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Eugene Neo (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Frederick Governale (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.26
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.94
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

梶田和満

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Hiroyuki Yamamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs John Hathaway (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.34
R3	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

荒金優太

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs shutatsu sato (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs 洋介小池 (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Masaya Sasaki (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Jamieson (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Bryce Stroyek

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Nelson Stephen Ventura (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Willem Van Den Broek (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Uzuri	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.39
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

David Petry

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Yukitaka Inohara (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jason Chua (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Mizuki Tamura (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.26
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Gary Manttan

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.34
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joel Guzman

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Lucas Tenorio (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Postle (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Brenna Tan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Mat Himmelman (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.34
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Manuel Hoffmann

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Shuya Watanabe (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nelson Stephen Ventura (Uzuri) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs KENT Lin (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Uzuri	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.99

Ryan Bell

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Alex Lindley (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Willem Van Den Broek (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Phil Hensley

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs ikuhiro mameta (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs shutatsu sato (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Clong H

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Koki Mori (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Edmondo Mazzulli

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Lauren Zacharakis (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Maximilian Bültel (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.74
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jean Luka Zorko

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Emerson Miller (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Russell Howse (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R3	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Kazuya Nakata

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Randy Davis (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Alissa Ellingson (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.27

Lucas Morrison

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Brenna Tan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Dang (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Andy Pham (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs ChangSheng Sze Tho (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Patrick Hauser

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs 祐也副島 (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.62
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Shuto Ushiro

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Viet Pham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.51
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Teck Yeow Wong

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tomoyuki Yagura (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Matt Quigley (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

WAI KIT LO

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Trevor Valentine (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.39
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yuta Maruo

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Hajime Okada (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Zack Phillips

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Sam Andersen (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

岡本一朗

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Sean Tan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Masaki Kinoshita (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Matt Q (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.74
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brenna Tan

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Morrison (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Luis Gustavo Lobo Rodriguez (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.78
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hiroyuki Yamamoto

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs 梶田和満 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Bart Horré (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jo Yana (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs ZongRu Wu (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Michael McDowell

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Clement Cheng (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kairi Thompson (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Oscar Ojeda Gomez

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Crisler Chee (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Rohan Raj (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Peter Bråss

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs ikuhiro mameta (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Shuya Watanabe

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Lindley (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Tyler Goodridge

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Ward (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Eon Lovelace (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Aoi Koganei (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Lu Wei Soh

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Cristerson Chee (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Aoi Koganei (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Yoshida Yoshinobu (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tommy Buljan

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Bart Horré (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Alex Lindley

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Bell (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Shuya Watanabe (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Chen Wei Li (Rhinar) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Anton Cid Mejias

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sam Andersen (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Younghyun Jeong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.46
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Tham

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs 優吾中村 (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.46
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Lucas Ng

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs David Tham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Oh Oh

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jared Blazich (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Aoi Koganei (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.04
R3	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Philip van Donselaar

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Yoshida Yoshinobu (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Ryusei Tani

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Chuan Yang Loy (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs 荒金優太 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Steven Christian

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs 祐也副島 (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Logan King (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Zaballero (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

直樹多川

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Van Assche (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Rabchenia (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kaori Ohara (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Jakub Tepper

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Emerson Miller (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-

Keith Tan

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bart Horré (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Phillip Spader

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Faciane (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Viet Pham

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jia Qi Loh (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Keito Onose (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Christian Byrnes

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs 暁柴野 (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Joseph Sierra

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs William Pearlman (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Lee Ming-Han

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Travis Barton

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Yuuki Sakata

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Dennis Van Assche

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs 直樹多川 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Arjun Garg

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Yuen Peir Teo (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Isuardi Therianto

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

James Hodges

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.