Rhinar at Sunday Showdown: Yokohama 2026
Rhinar
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
46th • 7-3-0
30%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.9
Surp
4.7
Diff
30:70
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 28:72
Round 2: Win vs Sinho Seol (Briar) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Alex Lindley (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Kai Pickett (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Alissa Ellingson (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Win vs Yuanji Li (Kano) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
30% (3/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda Brightaxe | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Terra | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Kano | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.