Dromai at Sunday Showdown: Yokohama 2026

Dromai

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Miyaji Kotaro

48th • 7-3-0

60%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Anthony Faciane (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matt Quigley (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: 73:27

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Cristerson Chee (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

90:10

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Dorinthea) - Expected: 88:12

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs zion moore (Kano) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs matoshi anthony Del mundo (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian) - Expected: 73:27

Meta Fit

60% (6/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.18
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.12
R7	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.97
R8	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.84
R10	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.45

kazuma kuwahara

94th • 5-5-0

40%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

4.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Reichel (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Robert Szura (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs 暁柴野 (Florian) - Expected: 73:27

90:10

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Dorinthea) - Expected: 88:12

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Hyde (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Aoi Koganei (Oldhim) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

40% (4/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.27
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.13
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Win	✗	0.83	2.30
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31

Alissa Ellingson

96th • 4-6-0

30%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.4

Diff

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Travis Wong (Florian) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Konoka Takai (Florian) - Expected: 73:27

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano) - Expected: 38:62

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kazuya Nakata (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Oldhim) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jian Botor (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Richard Fu (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

5:95

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Chen Wei Li (Rhinar) - Expected: 5:95

15:85

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Bart Horré (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 13:87

75:25

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Florian) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

Meta Fit

30% (3/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.09
R3	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.74
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Win	✗	0.84	1.87
R8	Silver Age	Rhinar	5%	Loss	✗	0.05	-
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R10	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-

レオン藤倉

105th • 3-7-0

60%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Josue Murillo Leon (Nuu) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Willem Van Den Broek (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Kano) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Hiroshi Noguchi (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Chihaya Ishimaru (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs 政大板谷 (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Aoi Koganei (Oldhim) - Expected: 40:60

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Wen Yu Thye (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (6/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R3	Silver Age	Nuu	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.11
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.64
R7	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.66
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R10	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Anthony Faciane

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Takehiro Shibasaki (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Max McLean (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs 雅之高橋 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Win	✗	0.83	1.02
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Win	✗	0.84	1.61
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Jacob Bertrand

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs シンヤカワグチ (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Eon Lovelace (Florian) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 13:87

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-

John Wardan

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Oldhim) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kin Bong Ernie Wong (Oldhim) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Florian) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.