Dromai at Sunday Showdown: Yokohama 2026

Dromai

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Miyaji Kotaro

48th • 7-3-0

50%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Anthony Faciane (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matt Quigley (Iyslander) - Expected: 35:65

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: 68:32

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Cristerson Chee (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs zion moore (Kano) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs matoshi anthony Del mundo (Fai) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

70:30

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian) - Expected: 68:32

Meta Fit

50% (5/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.22
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.97
R8	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.19
R10	Silver Age	Florian	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.55

kazuma kuwahara

94th • 5-5-0

40%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

4.1

Surp

5.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Reichel (Briar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Robert Szura (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs 暁柴野 (Florian) - Expected: 68:32

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Hyde (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

25:75

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Aoi Koganei (Oldhim) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

Meta Fit

40% (4/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.33
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Win	✗	0.83	2.30
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	25%	Win	✗	0.73	1.87

Alissa Ellingson

96th • 4-6-0

40%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

5.0

Surp

3.8

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Travis Wong (Florian) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Konoka Takai (Florian) - Expected: 68:32

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano) - Expected: 38:62

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kazuya Nakata (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Oldhim) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jian Botor (Iyslander) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Richard Fu (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Chen Wei Li (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

5:95

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Bart Horré (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 6:94

70:30

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Florian) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

Meta Fit

40% (4/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.11
R3	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.94
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.91
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Win	✗	0.84	1.87
R8	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-
R10	Silver Age	Florian	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-

レオン藤倉

105th • 3-7-0

40%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Josue Murillo Leon (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Willem Van Den Broek (Fai) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Kano) - Expected: 38:62

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Hiroshi Noguchi (Briar) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Chihaya Ishimaru (Fai) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs 政大板谷 (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

25:75

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Aoi Koganei (Oldhim) - Expected: 27:73

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Wen Yu Thye (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

40% (4/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R3	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.43
R7	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.93
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R10	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Anthony Faciane

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Takehiro Shibasaki (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Max McLean (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs 雅之高橋 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Win	✗	0.83	1.02
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Win	✗	0.84	1.61
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Jacob Bertrand

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs シンヤカワグチ (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Eon Lovelace (Florian) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

5:95

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 6:94

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-

John Wardan

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Oldhim) - Expected: 27:73

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kin Bong Ernie Wong (Oldhim) - Expected: 27:73

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Florian) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.