Sunday Showdown: Yokohama 2026 - Fai (SAGE)

Fai

14 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Fabian Rex

27th • 7-3-0

70%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Samed Demir (Oldhim) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Rhinar) - Expected: 69:31

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Iyslander) - Expected: 65:35

75:25

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Barrett Goss (Florian) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.35
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.27
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.37
R7	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.30
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.19
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Yuen Peir Teo

30th • 7-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

4.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Arjun Garg (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs shogo wakui (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oldhim) - Expected: 53:47

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Max Zeelie (Enigma) - Expected: 82:18

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs May Hayden (Vynnset) - Expected: 57:43

80:20

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Enigma) - Expected: 82:18

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Esmond Heng (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Iyslander) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (5/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.12
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.80
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.23
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.22
R10	Silver Age	Iyslander	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Ben Dodd

37th • 7-3-0

30%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.6

Surp

3.1

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs shogo wakui (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

30% (3/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.09
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.40
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.53
R5	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.44
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.06
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R10	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.43

Maurice Hostettler

47th • 7-3-0

70%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Briar) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Florian) - Expected: 74:26

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Peng Joon (Kayo) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Katsuya Hirai (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Yoshida Yoshinobu (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

75:25

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Florian) - Expected: 74:26

80:20

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Enigma) - Expected: 82:18

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Mikko Pena (Dorinthea) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.17
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.34
R9	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.26
R10	Silver Age	Dorinthea	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76

matoshi anthony Del mundo

81st • 5-5-0

70%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

90:10

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Josue Murillo Leon (Nuu) - Expected: 88:12

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs James Lewis (Terra) - Expected: 70:30

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Florian) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Tomotsugu Kikuta (Briar) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Alex Jamieson (Lexi) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Nuu	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.02
R2	Silver Age	Terra	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.10
R3	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.26
R4	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.17
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.20
R9	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chihaya Ishimaru

103rd • 4-6-0

70%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

4.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Oldhim) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Andy Pham (Dash) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Sinho Seol (Briar) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Emerson Miller (Enigma) - Expected: 82:18

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs レオン藤倉 (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs John Hathaway (Florian) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

75:25

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs 荻原雄生 (Florian) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Hajime Okada (Dorinthea) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (5.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.45
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.12
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R9	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.38
R10	Silver Age	Dorinthea	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76

Luke Murphy

dropped • 6-3-0

33%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.0

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Yu Cheng Lai (Dorinthea) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ricardo Rua (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Anthony Dang (Florian) - Expected: 74:26

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Oldhim) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.45
R4	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.19
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.79
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.16
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Willem Van Den Broek

dropped • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Bell (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Mizuki Tamura (Briar) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs レオン藤倉 (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Cristerson Chee (Kayo) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Frederick Governale (Oldhim) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Beslan Tatayev

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Law Wen (Kayo) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jie Rui C (Kayo) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Yu Cheng Lai (Dorinthea) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Amirruddin Sheik (Florian) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs 梶田和満 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.46
R4	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.34
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Jun Loong Wong

dropped • 2-3-0

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Chris Saw (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mikko Salmi (Kayo) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Andy Pham (Dash) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.53
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.86
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	Silver Age	Dash	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Mauro Annetta

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ricardo Rua (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 39:61

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tom Hartley (Riptide) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.21
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.13
R4	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Lauren Zacharakis

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tomoko Ishimaru (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Edmondo Mazzulli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

takahiro takahashi

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Jia Qi Loh

dropped • 1-0-0

Meta

+0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Viet Pham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (0.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.33

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.