Sunday Showdown: Yokohama 2026 - Lexi (SAGE)

Lexi

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alex Jamieson

70th • 6-4-0

30%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.8

Surp

3.1

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs May Hayden (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jude Cornett (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs 荒金優太 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Kano) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs matoshi anthony Del mundo (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

30% (3/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.49
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R9	Silver Age	Kano	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.57
R10	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Kyle Tang

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Yukitaka Inohara (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Rachel Stoddard (Dorinthea) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R3	Silver Age	Florian	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

裕貴藤盛

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs kou rui yang (Unknown)

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Oldhim) - Expected: 14:86

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jie Rui C (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Janina Maricle

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Dang (Florian) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tomotsugu Kikuta (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs yohei ohki (Kano) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Naoki Mikami

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Oldhim) - Expected: 14:86

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Carlo Luis Santos (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Andersen (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.