Sunday Showdown: Yokohama 2026 - Dash (SAGE)

Dash

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andy Pham

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 16:84

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Chihaya Ishimaru (Fai) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Morrison (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nick McGrath (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jun Loong Wong (Fai) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Law Wen (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.67
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Taufik Indrakesuma

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Yuuki Sakata (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 16:84

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.56
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.45
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.11
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-

Kairi Thompson

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tomoko Ishimaru (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 16:84

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Michael McDowell (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs zion moore (Kano) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.83
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Armand Miguel Medina

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Peng Joon (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs May Hayden (Vynnset) - Expected: 30:70

10:90

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 10:90

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	Silver Age	Vynnset	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-

Sam Andersen

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Naoki Mikami (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Carlo Luis Santos (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Cheng Chun-You

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Rachel Stoddard (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gaia Enomoto

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kairi Thompson (Dash) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Bültel (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

優吾中村

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

5:95

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Oldhim) - Expected: 6:94

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs David Tham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.