
Verdance
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-6-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.