Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
30 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 13-2-0
40%
Meta
+5.8
Perf
7.8
Surp
7.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Fetter (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
Round 2: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raj Parikh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Bray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
40% (6/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 13 actual)
Surprise
7.8 total deviation
Difficulty
7.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
15th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.9
Surp
4.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Shope (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs adam ohls (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Kenneth Shivers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
95:5
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Parker Sutton (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
25th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Trevor White (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
95:5
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zack Stump (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
95:5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Curtis Roth (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kyle Yoder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Griesdorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nicholas Hoover (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
27th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alan Eichenberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Logan May (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 9: Loss vs William Pearlman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 12: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
43rd • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Scanlon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Maul (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Becker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Abigail Welday (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cody Williams (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 9: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs William Pearlman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
44th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Olson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Dahm (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Pearlman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
56th • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Meadows (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Rath (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Stokes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 81:19
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Colin Carney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Timothy Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Travis McDaniel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David McCartney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Butera (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Round 4: Win vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Hepp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Maul (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andre Francis (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 81:19
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Van Meter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bert Main (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Carson Roberts (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philip Stolze (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody Williams (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Robert Sexton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josh Perry (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Theodore Maximiuk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Gardner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 6: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dayton Smallwood (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Scherer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Scanlon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Scott Rice (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Parker Sutton (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Brake (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Morgan Pudim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Beihn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Stolze (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Round 7: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 2: Loss vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Frady (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
95:5
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryan Heffner (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Will Ross (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Davison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 2: Win vs Paden Richard (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Gardner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Ezra Menchen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs John Montalbano IV (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joe W. (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Vincent (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 6: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Derek Schindlbeck (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Josh Hill (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Bert Main (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dexter Canright (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Butera (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Parker Sutton (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justyn Bernard (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Fetter (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Morgan Pudim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachery Hill (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 81:19
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Walter Tomlin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andre Francis (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 81:19
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Hoover (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marcellus Wiggins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
95:5
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Curtis Roth (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Leah Panitz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Weatherholtz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Scherer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Josh Norton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sean Moyer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bert Main (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Sexton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Meadows (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kirby Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Heffner (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marcellus Wiggins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Trevor White (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carson Roberts (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Van Meter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Caleb Wangler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kenn Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.