Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Columbus 2026
Valda, Seismic Impact
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bill Fox (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Butera (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Goetz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
Round 5: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Wadley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gary Gold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler McMurray (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 2: Win vs John Montalbano IV (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
Round 4: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andre Francis (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Goetz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Curtis Roth (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charles Simmons (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Wong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.