FaB-Results
Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nghia Tran
5th • 10-3-0
38%
Meta
+4.2
Perf
7.1
Surp
6.3
Diff
Pleiades, Superstar
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs nicklas starland (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 44:56
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dayton Smallwood (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Paris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Randall Sims (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Austin Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Sebastiano Cavallo
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaak Krut (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Paris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
Andre Francis
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gary Gold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
Valda, Seismic Impact
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Darick Oswalt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chris Simpson (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 56:44
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!!
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Andrew Stokes
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs JT Bruhn (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 56:44
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Will Ross (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Weatherholtz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Scherer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Zachery Hill
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justyn Bernard (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.