Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling: Columbus 2026
Katsu, the Wanderer
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
54%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
6.9
Surp
6.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs nicklas starland (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dayton Smallwood (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Paris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Win vs Randall Sims (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Austin Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Round 11: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaak Krut (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Paris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gary Gold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Darick Oswalt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chris Simpson (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs JT Bruhn (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Will Ross (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Weatherholtz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Scherer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justyn Bernard (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.