Prism, Awakener of Sol
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
34th • 8-3-1
92%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Davison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tony Ly (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Jonathan Fouk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 54:46
Round 11: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Raj Parikh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Draw |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
62nd • 5-7-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
5.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel VanDyke (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anderson Soares (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs adam ohls (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Round 8: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Round 11: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nicholas Hoover (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (6.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs May Hayden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Wadley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Draw |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Richard Hersch (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ashley Briggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leah Panitz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Burns (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Smith (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joe W. (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jerami Haws (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Philip Stolze (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Ford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Milner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edward Pudim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Beihn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cam Dayton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.