Pleiades, Superstar

Pleiades, Superstar

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th 10-3-0
46%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.8
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, Huntsman
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Meunier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Baker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Pleiades, Superstar
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
54%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.6
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alyssa Carden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Davison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Dash I/O
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Prism, Awakener of Sol
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 67:33
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Pleiades, Superstar
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
39th 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.2
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe W. (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dakota Sisk (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Kennedy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Pleiades, Superstar
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Noah Ford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
dropped 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeff Kloosterman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ezra Menchen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Dash I/O
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 60:40
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Davison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
dropped 3-2-1
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary McCollough (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
Puffin, Hightail
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zackary Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cole Torres (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Pleiades, Superstar
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 67:33
Dash I/O
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 60:40
Kassai of the Golden Sand
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Griesdorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeffery Frahm (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
Katsu, the Wanderer
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nghia Tran (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cole Torres (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
dropped 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Hoover (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dayton Smallwood (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.