Pleiades, Superstar
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
46%
Meta
+4.1
Perf
7.0
Surp
5.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Win vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Meunier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Baker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
5th • 9-4-0
62%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.7
Surp
4.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alyssa Carden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Davison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
39th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe W. (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Win vs Dakota Sisk (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Kennedy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Noah Ford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeff Kloosterman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ezra Menchen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Davison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-1
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary McCollough (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zackary Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cole Torres (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Griesdorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeffery Frahm (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nghia Tran (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cole Torres (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Hoover (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 9:91
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dayton Smallwood (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.