Calling: Columbus 2026 - Puffin, Hightail (CC)

Puffin, Hightail

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Zackary Young

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jerome Libbrecht (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chase Keeton (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cooper Templeton (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Carson Roberts (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Charles Ligato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.05
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.32
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Jason Frady

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sean Moyer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lemont Peyton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Derek Purdy (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jeffrey Lang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.70
R5	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60

Michael Fetter

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Richard Gapinski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Crabtree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.79
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.