Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Columbus 2026
Dorinthea Ironsong
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
60th • 6-6-0
58%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Carney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Leimenstoll (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kenneth Shivers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rachel Van Leeuwen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Wampler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nicholas Hoover (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (6.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Tillinghast (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Vincent (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Louis Solymos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Round 5: Win vs Robert Sexton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Ty Hicks (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Richard Hersch (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Angel Hernandez (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mason Herschberg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Herzog (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Stolze (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Davison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Rich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Swazey Sexton (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Frady (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 73:27
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Freeland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kellen Smallwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Laws (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Millwee (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Herzog (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.