Kassai of the Golden Sand
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
23rd • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenneth Shivers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bert Main (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thomas Bray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brayden Fetter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Cannon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Pudim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs May Hayden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Win vs Mel Falcon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcellus Wiggins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Stokes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Timothy Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Win vs Evelyn Thomas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Win vs Josh Norton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs Joe W. (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Alex Becker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Round 7: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs adam ohls (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Hepp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Scott Rice (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evelyn Thomas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Warburton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Frady (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29
Round 2: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Caleb Wangler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zackary Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Brake (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Van Meter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Carney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Romah (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marcellus Wiggins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ezra Menchen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryan Heffner (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs adam ohls (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Bradshaw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Wampler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jerami Haws (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brandon Smith (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Glenn Rosario II (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee McLeod (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lemont Peyton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Kennedy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Jorstad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Herzog (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Garrett Brown (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Franklin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Martinez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Wadley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Jorstad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-1
67%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anderson Soares (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeffrey Lang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel VanDyke (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Trevor White (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Draw |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Stokes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Crabtree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Carney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Sexton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Parker Sutton (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Burns (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel VanDyke (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Williamson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tim Wong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Pearlman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Ford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Garcia (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Martinez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Jorstad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.