Kayo, Underhanded Cheat at Calling: Columbus 2026
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs JT Bruhn (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Michael Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeffrey Lang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Wadley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Olson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kenn Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dayton Smallwood (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 90:10, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 90% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lee McLeod (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
5:95
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93
Round 7: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 5% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Leimenstoll (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Maxson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matt Brehm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Rich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None ()
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trevor White (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 90:10
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andre Francis (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Stokes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Angel Hernandez (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Derek Schindlbeck (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Win vs Paden Richard (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
5:95
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Muus (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Burns (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Douglas Jones (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
5:95
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 5% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 5% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Gudan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Herzog (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Leimenstoll (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
5:95
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 5% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Constance (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 90:10
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zackary Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93
Round 4: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 5% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zack Stump (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vince Biamonte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Scanlon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Rich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Leah Panitz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Freeland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Morgan Pudim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.