Calling: Columbus 2026 - Kayo, Underhanded Cheat (CC)

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Angel Hernandez

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs JT Bruhn (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jeffrey Lang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.59
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.02
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Tommy Hendricks

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.1

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Wadley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ian Olson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kenn Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dayton Smallwood (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.44
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.98
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.22
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-

Tader Kammeyer

dropped • 3-3-1

57%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lee McLeod (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

5:95

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.06
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Swazey Sexton

dropped • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Leimenstoll (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Maxson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matt Brehm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Adam Rich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.39
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.02
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Chris Simpson

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None ()

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Trevor White (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andre Francis (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.23
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

JT Bruhn

dropped • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Stokes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Angel Hernandez (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Derek Schindlbeck (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Paden Richard (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.71
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.24
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Curtis Roth

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 58:42

5:95

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Muus (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nathan Burns (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

90:10

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Douglas Jones (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 88:12

5:95

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.46
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.15
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-

Bryan Heffner

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

5:95

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Paul Gudan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Herzog (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Leimenstoll (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33

5:95

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.44
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-

Chase Keeton

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Constance (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zackary Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.18
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Zack Stump

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72

5:95

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 7:93

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Ryan Jarvis

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zack Stump (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vince Biamonte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Scanlon (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Rich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Joshua Campbell

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Leah Panitz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Freeland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Phillip Millwee

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Morgan Pudim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.