Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Calling: Columbus 2026
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
30th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Becker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs May Hayden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Simpson (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 79:21
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Smith (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Maxson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Austin Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Raj Parikh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jared Bugbee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paden Richard (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Win vs John Milner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tommy Hendricks (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 79:21
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kellen Smallwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tommy Hendricks (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Steven Caraher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ian Cannon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Stokes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Theodore Maximiuk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Smith (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gary Gold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kirby Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Morgan Pudim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Scott Rice (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jared Bugbee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Stokes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Maul (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matt Muus (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Kelly (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kenneth Shivers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Hunt (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zackary Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Stolze (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Morgan Pudim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Edward Pudim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phillip Millwee (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 79:21
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randall Sims (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Marengo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeffery Frahm (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Crabtree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mick Moore (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andre Francis (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Hunt (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cam Dayton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mick Moore (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Helphenstine (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Scott Rice (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs May Hayden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Timothy Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josh Perry (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kenneth Shivers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mason Herschberg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Noah Helphenstine (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Wadley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zack Stump (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 79:21
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler McMurray (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Joe W. (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Erik Pettis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Brehm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcellus Wiggins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mason Herschberg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.