Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Calling: Columbus 2026

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joshua Maxson

dropped • 4-3-0

14%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Wampler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Swazey Sexton (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs adam ohls (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Van Meter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.15
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.30
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.93
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.48

Patrick Kelly

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Serpa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Gardner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brian Laws (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chandler Cook (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Weatherholtz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.98
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.51
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Will Ross

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Stokes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.22
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.26
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Phillip Spader

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lee McLeod (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bryan Knecht (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Beihn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tommy Hendricks (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.12
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.78
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.