Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Calling: Columbus 2026

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joshua Maxson

dropped • 4-3-0

14%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Wampler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Swazey Sexton (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs adam ohls (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Van Meter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.98
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.68

Patrick Kelly

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.9

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Serpa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Gardner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brian Laws (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chandler Cook (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Weatherholtz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.83
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.76
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Will Ross

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Stokes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.29
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Phillip Spader

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lee McLeod (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 91:9

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bryan Knecht (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Beihn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tommy Hendricks (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	90%	Win	✓	0.09	0.03
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.