Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
34 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kirby Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ezra Menchen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Louis Solymos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs William Pearlman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
Round 11: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
12th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josh Hill (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Douglas Jones (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Franklin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Hoover (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ryan Baker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 12: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
13th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Win vs Austin Scherer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Colin Carney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
19th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Gary Gold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Warburton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kellen Smallwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Randall Sims (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryan Baker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Joshua Rath (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
29th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Angel Hernandez (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Brehm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Crabtree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Swazey Sexton (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Leah Panitz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
Round 11: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
38th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Walter Tomlin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David McCartney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Dahm (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Smith (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 7: Win vs Jeremy Werner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 8: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Parker Sutton (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 75% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
40th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mason Herschberg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isaak Krut (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Griesdorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 11: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thomas Bray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
46th • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Seth M Anderson ()
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carson Roberts (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler McMurray (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs adam ohls (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 8: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
49th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 2: Win vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Griesdorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 7: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 9: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
50th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carson Roberts (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evelyn Thomas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kirby Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 9: Loss vs Parker Sutton (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
70%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Angel Hernandez (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 10: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Johnston (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Seneca Pressley (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Diana Green (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mel Falcon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Eichenberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edward Pudim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gabriel Marengo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Muus (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chandler Cook (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rachel Van Leeuwen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gabriel Marengo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Griesdorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Wampler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alex Becker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elliott Rinke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Anderson Soares (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs JT Bruhn (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachary McCollough (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Freeland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brandon Smith (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Griesdorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Wadley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert VanDyke IV (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David McCartney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evelyn Thomas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None ()
Round 5: Loss vs Garrett Brown (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | 50% | Win | |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Milner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Franklin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Kelly (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bert Main (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs John Romah (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chase Keeton (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Rich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Solymos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Hepp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trevor White (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Logan May (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Vincent (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Round 5: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Charles Ligato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Tim Wong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alyssa Carden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Becker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Win vs Jerami Haws (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alex Borns (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs John Meunier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jerami Haws (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Logan May (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brayden Fetter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Hepp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Loss vs JT Bruhn (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Cooper Templeton (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kaileb Shipman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Constance (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Wampler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Griesdorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paden Richard (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Hunt (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jerami Haws (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Frady (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Kirby Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Fetter (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cooper Templeton (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.