Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Calling: Columbus 2026
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
23 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 12-2-0
50%
Meta
+4.8
Perf
6.8
Surp
6.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lemont Peyton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ashley Briggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nghia Tran (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (7/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
3rd • 10-4-0
79%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 11: Loss vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
79% (11/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
10th • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ty Hicks (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cole Torres (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Randall Sims (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Austin Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ryan Baker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Joshua Rath (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
17th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.7
Surp
5.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Brake (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Angel Hernandez (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Benjamin Hepp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
28th • 8-3-1
83%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Derek Schindlbeck (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Draw |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
21st • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Caleb Wangler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Gudan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs nicklas starland (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
26th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Hunt (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 81:19
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Simpson (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Louis Solymos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs William Pearlman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
35th • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs nicklas starland (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Bert Main (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
42nd • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary McCollough (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin DiRuzza (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mick Moore (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
51st • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Milner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Muus (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josh Hill (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Edward Pudim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Diana Green (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Wampler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vince Biamonte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Ford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Logan May (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Kennedy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Morgan Pudim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Randall Sims (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jeffrey Lang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anderson Soares (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dakota Sisk (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marcellus Wiggins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Caraher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brian Laws (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lee McLeod (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jeffery Frahm (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Hepp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Ford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dexter Canright (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brian Laws (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Herzog (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tony Ly (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gary Gold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brayden Fetter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Chandler Cook (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kellen Smallwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maxwell Martrich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elliott Rinke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vince Biamonte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Dahm (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dayton Smallwood (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Douglas Jones (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.