Calling: Columbus 2026 - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Eugene C

20th • 9-3-0

33%

Meta

+4.1

Perf

6.1

Surp

6.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Abigail Welday (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jonathan Fouk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

33% (4/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

6.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.23
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.41
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.68
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.77
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.66
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R11	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.25
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Nicholas Hoover

61st • 6-6-0

33%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Martinez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 91:9

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dakota Sisk (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Justin Anthony (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Louis Solymos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Timothy Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61

75:25

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

33% (4/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	90%	Win	✓	0.09	0.01
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.54
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.31
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.68
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R9	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.44

Adam Rich

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs John Montalbano IV (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Garrett Brown (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Swazey Sexton (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.39
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.58
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R7	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Corey Frascati-Robinson

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dayton Smallwood (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tyler Vincent (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs John Romah (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Theodore Maximiuk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.13
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.58
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.80
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Walter Tomlin

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

3.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Serpa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Scott Rice (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jeremy Constance (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.67
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.04
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

John Romah

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Evelyn Thomas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dakota Sisk (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tony Ly (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.19
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.62
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.83
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jerome Libbrecht

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zackary Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 21:79

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Marengo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jared Bugbee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Constance (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Josh Norton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.78
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Jeremy Beihn

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 29:71

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Derek Schindlbeck

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Diana Green (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs JT Bruhn (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Robert VanDyke IV

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs James Warburton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Josh Hill (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.