Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Columbus 2026
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 9-3-0
33%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
5.7
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Abigail Welday (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
Round 6: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
Round 11: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jonathan Fouk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
61st • 6-6-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Martinez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dakota Sisk (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Justin Anthony (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Louis Solymos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Timothy Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Montalbano IV (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Garrett Brown (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Swazey Sexton (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dayton Smallwood (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Vincent (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Romah (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Theodore Maximiuk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Serpa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Scott Rice (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jeremy Constance (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evelyn Thomas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dakota Sisk (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tony Ly (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zackary Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Marengo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Jared Bugbee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Constance (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Josh Norton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Diana Green (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs JT Bruhn (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Warburton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josh Hill (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.