Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
54th • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Garrett Brown (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Win vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Hoover (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60
Round 6: Win vs Aaron Franklin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cole Torres (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 51:49
Round 12: Win vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.