Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
Pleiades, Superstar
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Randy Davis (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 44:56
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Freeland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dakota Sisk (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 29:71
dropped 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Sexton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 24:76
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Crabtree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Katsu, the Wanderer
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zachery Hill (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.