Florian, Rotwood Harbinger at Battle Hardened Munich 2025
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 10-1-0
73%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
5.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Müller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 87:13
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 81:19
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 83:17
Round 6: Win vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kris Mersol (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 9: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
2nd • 9-2-0
45%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Wolf (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24
Round 2: Win vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 83:17
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andreas Türke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
3rd • 8-2-0
60%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Knauer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johann Schwarze (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 77:23
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
12th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ramon Staudt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 77:23
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul Beese (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24
Round 7: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Enes Findik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
13th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs gabriel głowicki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andreas Eichlinger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 80:20
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Martin Baur (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nils Hauck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
16th • 6-2-0
38%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marius Klezok (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Tolno (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Krstic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Win vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
54th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fritz Kern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wolfgang Mahl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrik Weber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 85% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dominik Michael Rehberg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tobias Koch (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Beese (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philipp Hinrichsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80
Round 3: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simon Haneke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 81:19
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Haneke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 81:19
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hüseyin Kılık (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Redetzky (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Redetzky (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Fichtner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Schäferling (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Kiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Loss vs Armin Stocker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.