Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 10-1-0
64%
Meta
+4.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
6.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Müller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 14:86
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kris Mersol (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Round 9: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
2nd • 9-2-0
45%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
5.2
Surp
4.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Wolf (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
Round 2: Win vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andreas Türke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
3rd • 8-2-0
60%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Knauer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johann Schwarze (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
12th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ramon Staudt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul Beese (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
Round 7: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Enes Findik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
13th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs gabriel głowicki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andreas Eichlinger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Martin Baur (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nils Hauck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
16th • 6-2-0
12%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marius Klezok (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Tolno (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Krstic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
54th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fritz Kern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wolfgang Mahl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrik Weber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Dominik Michael Rehberg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tobias Koch (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Beese (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philipp Hinrichsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simon Haneke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Round 5: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Haneke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hüseyin Kılık (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Redetzky (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24
Round 5: Loss vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Redetzky (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24
Round 4: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Fichtner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Schäferling (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Kiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs Armin Stocker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.