Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
38th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Ebner (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
Round 4: Win vs Fritz Kern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrik Weber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Emanuele Damiani ()
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | 50% | Win | |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.