FaB-Results

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at Battle Hardened Munich 2025

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Hügel
50th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Uzuri, Switchblade
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexej Vollmer (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vanessa Jaud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Schäferling (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dominik Michael Rehberg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
Simone Paterniti
60th • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Francesco Lancini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elmar Bruckmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kris Mersol (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bastian Brandstetter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Puffin, Hightail
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Antonia Reichl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
Fritz Kern
65th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Puffin, Hightail
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antonia Reichl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco Lancini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Fang, Dracai of Blades
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nils Herrmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Martin Ebner (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Julia Angermeier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
Alexander Schauer
82nd • 2-6-0
62%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tobias Koch (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Fang, Dracai of Blades
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nils Herrmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Martin Ebner (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Fang, Dracai of Blades
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marius Klezok (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patrik Weber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aleks Richter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Marco Wilzius
86th • 2-6-0
88%
Meta
-3.0
Perf
4.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
!!
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Enes Findik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrik Weber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andreas Reling (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Puffin, Hightail
!!
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marius Reinhardt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonas Preusch (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bastian Brandstetter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.