Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
50th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexej Vollmer (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vanessa Jaud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Schäferling (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dominik Michael Rehberg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
60th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Francesco Lancini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elmar Bruckmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kris Mersol (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bastian Brandstetter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Antonia Reichl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
65th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antonia Reichl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco Lancini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nils Herrmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Martin Ebner (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Julia Angermeier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
82nd • 2-6-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tobias Koch (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nils Herrmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Martin Ebner (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marius Klezok (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Loss vs Patrik Weber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aleks Richter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
86th • 2-6-0
75%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Enes Findik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Loss vs Patrik Weber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andreas Reling (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Marius Reinhardt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonas Preusch (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bastian Brandstetter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.