Arakni, Marionette
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Hügel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kamil Kirstein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nils Hauck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Leo Reichl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonathan Tolno (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
31st • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rico Angermeier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marius Reinhardt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Justin Steinhauer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Round 7: Loss vs Enes Findik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Davorin Pokorn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
52nd • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs gabriel głowicki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marius Reinhardt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Florian Kink (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dennis Krstic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ramon Staudt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christian Fichtner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Beese (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marco Wilzius (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Baur (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.