Kano, Dracai of Aether
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
10:90
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 12:88
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthias Fund (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 10% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.