FaB-Results

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Battle Hardened Munich 2025

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Stefan Hofmüller
24th • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Redetzky (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 44:56
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Puffin, Hightail
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 34:66
Dimitrios Stergiou
dropped • 1-6-0
43%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
Kano, Dracai of Aether
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Seitz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Schauer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcus Leichtenberger (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elmar Bruckmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Puffin, Hightail
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Antonia Reichl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 34:66
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rico Angermeier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.