Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Battle Hardened Munich 2025
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luis Toeffels (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joscha Amann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
5th • 6-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthias Gigler (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tobias Koch (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nils Herrmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
21st • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dominik Michael Rehberg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Davorin Pokorn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Martin Baur (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
22nd • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Win vs Kristof Andrić (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bastian Brandstetter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dennis Seitz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonathan Tolno (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
35th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hüseyin Kılık (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Round 6: Loss vs Davorin Pokorn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marius Klezok (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
36th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wolfgang Mahl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Kempter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luis Toeffels (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marius Reinhardt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
39th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthias Kempter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Seitz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bastian Brandstetter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Eisenbart (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
42nd • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dennis Seitz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Julia Angermeier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philipp Hinrichsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Enes Findik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Eisenbart (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
64th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raul Sierra (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simone Paterniti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marko Butorovych (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrejs Ruseckis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
75th • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Moritz Wendl (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aleks Richter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Enes Findik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dominik Michael Rehberg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marius Reinhardt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
Round 8: Loss vs Nils Herrmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elmar Bruckmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Tolno (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Schödel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Bauer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 75:25
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florian Kink (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Eisenbart (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Bastian Brandstetter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simon Haneke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Döhrer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andreas Türke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Tolno (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Ebner (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.