Fai, Rising Rebellion at Battle Hardened Munich 2025
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Schauer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luis Toeffels (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.