Prism, Awakener of Sol at Battle Hardened Munich 2025
Prism, Awakener of Sol
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Beese (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kris Mersol (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florian Kink (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
74th • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marko Butorovych (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peter Bauer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonas Preusch (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Elmar Bruckmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Döhrer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Win vs Dominik Jurkewitz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elmar Bruckmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Francesco Lancini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Krstic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tobias Hartfiel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dominik Jurkewitz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Kiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefan Kreutz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Enes Findik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hügel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mira Kubiczak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yannick Kohlmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bastian Brandstetter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Loss vs Kamil Kirstein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.