Ira, Scarlet Revenger
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Schödel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fritz Kern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrik Weber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ramon Staudt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Win vs Nils Herrmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrejs Ruseckis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
47th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthias Fund (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 60:40
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Enes Findik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andreas Türke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Johann Schwarze (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Nils Herrmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
53rd • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Paul Döhrer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lukas Lorek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs Michael Eisenbart (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Tolno (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
78th • 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Lukas Lorek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Schuster (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Moritz Wendl (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Davorin Pokorn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Simone Paterniti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marco Wilzius (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
81st • 2-5-1
38%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Baur (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Rico Angermeier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Eisenbart (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Seitz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Elmar Bruckmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Marius Reinhardt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Draw |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None ()
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.