Fang, Dracai of Blades at Battle Hardened Munich 2025
Fang, Dracai of Blades
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
45th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nils Hauck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bastian Brandstetter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
Round 6: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ramon Staudt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
46th • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Christian Fichtner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nils Hauck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Johann Schwarze (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
55th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Angelos Emmanouil (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marko Butorovych (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hüseyin Kılık (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Schauer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rico Angermeier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
56th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Redetzky (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Schauer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kamil Kirstein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Round 5: Loss vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Fritz Kern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Mira Kubiczak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
58th • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Angelos Emmanouil (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Florian Kink (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
69th • 3-4-1
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcus Leichtenberger (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Kink (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Beese (Dash I/O) - Expected: 28:72
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Johann Schwarze (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ramon Staudt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Andrejs Ruseckis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Draw |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
67th • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antonia Reichl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Steinhauer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andreas Türke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dennis Seitz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kamil Kirstein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Hartmann (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefan Kreutz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joscha Amann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Kiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nils Herrmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Moritz Wendl (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Angelos Emmanouil (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tobias Hartfiel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Kiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.