Fang, Dracai of Blades at Battle Hardened Munich 2025
Fang, Dracai of Blades
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
45th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nils Hauck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bastian Brandstetter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
Round 6: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ramon Staudt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
46th • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Christian Fichtner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nils Hauck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 47:53
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Johann Schwarze (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
55th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Angelos Emmanouil (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marko Butorovych (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hüseyin Kılık (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Schauer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rico Angermeier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
56th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Redetzky (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Schauer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kamil Kirstein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Round 5: Loss vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Fritz Kern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Mira Kubiczak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
58th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Angelos Emmanouil (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Florian Kink (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
69th • 3-4-1
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Marcus Leichtenberger (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Kink (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Beese (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Johann Schwarze (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ramon Staudt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Andrejs Ruseckis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Draw |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
67th • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antonia Reichl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Steinhauer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andreas Türke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dennis Seitz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kamil Kirstein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Hartmann (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefan Kreutz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joscha Amann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Kiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nils Herrmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Moritz Wendl (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Angelos Emmanouil (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tobias Hartfiel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Kiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.