Dash I/O at Battle Hardened Munich 2025
Dash I/O
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 8-2-0
60%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
4.9
Surp
4.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Schödel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34
Round 6: Win vs Kris Mersol (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
23rd • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrejs Ruseckis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Steinhauer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29
Round 5: Win vs Luis Toeffels (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Round 7: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
40th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Davorin Pokorn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthias Fund (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Win vs Armin Stocker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Hartmann (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
63rd • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Ebner (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Loss vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Marco Wilzius (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Schauer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andreas Reling (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
70th • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 73:27
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dominik Jurkewitz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 73:27
Round 3: Loss vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Win vs Wolfgang Mahl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hüseyin Kılık (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Emanuele Damiani ()
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Viet Pham (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Knauer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 73:27
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthias Fund (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Francesco Lancini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Andreas Eichlinger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emanuele Damiani ()
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthias Fund (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | 50% | Win | |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Haneke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Schödel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Knauer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.