Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Battle Hardened Munich 2025
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Armin Stocker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Marko Butorovych (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Eisenbart (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Julia Angermeier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Round 6: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
14th • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Bauer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Julia Angermeier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
25th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kris Mersol (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Maximilian Müller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emanuele Damiani ()
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Leo Reichl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Round 8: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | 50% | Win | |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
28th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mira Kubiczak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs gabriel głowicki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dennis Seitz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 6: Win vs Michael Hügel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dominik Däther (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
32nd • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Schäferling (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthias Fund (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Florian Kink (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
43rd • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aleks Richter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kris Mersol (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
66th • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andreas Reling (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Martin Baur (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Tolno (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Eisenbart (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Fritz Kern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marco Wilzius (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Loss vs Matthias Gigler (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.