Kassai of the Golden Sand at Battle Hardened Munich 2025
Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
30th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Koksch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yannick Kohlmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Schödel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Round 8: Win vs Hüseyin Kılık (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.