Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Battle Hardened Munich 2025
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yannick Kohlmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthias Fund (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
Round 8: Win vs Sebastian Schödel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 9: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
71st • 3-4-1
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Ebner (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Beese (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andreas Eichlinger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Justin Steinhauer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Elmar Bruckmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Draw |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
76th • 3-4-1
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Julia Angermeier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Vanessa Jaud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Antonia Reichl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marco Wilzius (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emanuele Damiani ()
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Francesco Lancini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Patrik Weber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Draw |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | 50% | Loss | |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
73rd • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hüseyin Kılık (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Kink (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Hartmann (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nils Hauck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hügel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs gabriel głowicki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
79th • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrik Weber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrejs Ruseckis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Round 4: Win vs Peter Bauer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Schauer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marcus Leichtenberger (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fritz Kern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Francesco Lancini (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
84th • 2-6-0
75%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simone Paterniti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raul Sierra (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcus Leichtenberger (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Wolf (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Fritz Kern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonas Preusch (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andreas Reling (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Martin Ebner (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clayton Gowen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 69:31
Round 2: Win vs Moritz Wendl (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leo Reichl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Daniel Stettin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Gigler (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonas Preusch (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raul Sierra (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emanuele Damiani ()
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Davorin Pokorn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-1
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Philipp Hinrichsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emanuele Damiani ()
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.