Battle Hardened Munich 2025 - Jarl Vetreiði (CC)

Jarl Vetreiði

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Luka Leko

19th • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrejs Ruseckis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Patrik Weber (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christian Fichtner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Florian Koksch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Bausch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.14
R2	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.12
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.23
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.64
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Kris Mersol

29th • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Schödel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.17
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.44
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.42
R6	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R8	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.95

Andreas Eichlinger

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kristof Andrić (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Armin Stocker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrejs Ruseckis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Armin Stocker

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Eichlinger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Stefan Kreutz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.63

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.