Puffin, Hightail at Battle Hardened Munich 2025

Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

15th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.9

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Leo Reichl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Antonia Reichl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Fang, Dracai of Blades

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Davorin Pokorn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

Jarl Vetreiði

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Christian Kiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

Katsu, the Wanderer

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

R8

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.51
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

26th • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.0

Diff

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marco Wilzius (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Schäferling (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mira Kubiczak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ramon Staudt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

R8

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	20%	Win	✗	0.79	0.28
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.16
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.93
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tobias Hartfiel

68th • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

Dash I/O

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Fichtner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joscha Amann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Raul Sierra (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

Dash I/O

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Dominik Michael Rehberg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.21
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Marius Reinhardt

83rd • 2-5-1

50%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Florentin Lüdeking (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Arakni, Marionette

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ramon Staudt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Katsu, the Wanderer

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64

Arakni, Marionette

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Marco Wilzius (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Mira Kubiczak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	20%	Win	✗	0.79	1.67
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	20%	Draw	✗	0.20	-

85th • 2-6-0

75%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Florian Kink (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Fritz Kern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andreas Reling (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marcus Leichtenberger (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Simone Paterniti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Angelos Emmanouil

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

Fang, Dracai of Blades

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marius Klezok (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Clayton Gowen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Seitz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dominik Jurkewitz

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.1

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Hartmann (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25

Dash I/O

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christian Fichtner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.10
R2	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Dash I/O

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Simon Wolf (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None ()

Dash I/O

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Müller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Florentin Lüdeking

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marius Reinhardt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.