Puffin, Hightail
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Leo Reichl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antonia Reichl (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Davorin Pokorn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christian Kiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
26th • 5-3-0
12%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Marco Wilzius (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 22:78
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Schäferling (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mira Kubiczak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Win vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Ramon Staudt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
68th • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Fichtner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joscha Amann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raul Sierra (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maik Dieterle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kai Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dominik Michael Rehberg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
83rd • 2-5-1
25%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florentin Lüdeking (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ramon Staudt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Win vs Marco Wilzius (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mira Kubiczak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 25% | Draw |
85th • 2-6-0
62%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florian Kink (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fritz Kern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andreas Reling (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcus Leichtenberger (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Simone Paterniti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marius Klezok (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Clayton Gowen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Seitz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Hartmann (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Fichtner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Wolf (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None ()
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Müller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | 50% | Win | |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marius Reinhardt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.